And in the end, but indeed again, since it is a new beginning, the German Ursula Von der Leyen obtained the much discussed second mandate from the European Parliament. Once again President of the European Commission for the next five years therefore. Precisely, all things considered, until the year 2029, for having obtained, out of seven hundred and seven voters, four hundred and one votes in favor, 284 votes against, with also fifteen abstentions, and even seven blank ballots. Whatever anyone wants to say, as always, or perhaps almost always, in the political sphere it seems that numbers rule the roost.

The vote of the People's Party, the Social Democrats, and, above all, that of the Green and Liberal groups, the latter two being anything but obvious, were decisive in supporting her, legitimizing her second mandate. Outside the majority thus constituted, not only the extreme and sovereignist right have positioned themselves, but also the radical left, as well as the Brothers of Italy, of which Giorgia Meloni, President of the Council of Ministers, is the leader.

There is no question, therefore, about the outcome of the vote which, despite the proverbial "Sword of Damocles" of the snipers and the uncertainties linked to the negotiations that have taken place in the meantime between the various Political Groups to be affiliated (so to speak), could probably be considered if not really obvious, at least predictable even if rather "tired". The potential effect of that same outcome, the consequence on the practical and decision-making level, not only for the supranational balances of the Union, but also for the direct and indirect repercussions on the national level of the individual Member Countries, seem to deserve the most accurate analysis. is possible.

Meanwhile, because, even if we wanted to consider and believe everything, it would still be all too simple to conclude that, given that it is such an ideologically composite and differentiated majority, therefore apparently difficult to "amalgamate", Ursula Von der Leyen will be called to face her second mandate with "blank guns", to use a metaphor. Therefore, why, the probably truly decisive and non-negotiable element of the supranational Government Programme, as announced by the newly re-elected President, seemed to be the fight against every form of extremism. Finally, because it will be necessary to try to understand what weight, on the decision-making level, can be granted to all those political groups that have de facto positioned themselves, with their vote, or non-vote, in the opposition and/or in any case, outside of that same aforementioned majority , which, considering Ursula Von der Leyen's undisputed and already demonstrated capacity for mediation, seems to be anything but disunited if we obviously exclude what will certainly be an inevitable and lively confrontation.

There are many topics on the table and they are all equally of primary interest for each Member Country. And from a more purely internal point of view, since the government majority appears to be in turn composed of parties so differently oriented from an ideological point of view on the European dynamics and on the objectives to be achieved there (Fratelli d'Italia, Forza Italia and Lega), the undisputed support offered to the newly re-appointed President by the Azzurri could (the conditional is necessary) call into question the balance. The Italian deputy prime minister Antonio Tajani, who can boast a long experience of government in the European context, declared, as reported by the press agencies, that in the European context «the EPP has won, it will give the line and give the cards» and that, with Forza Italia, we will be "in the control room". Which seems extremely correct, but it would only be Forza Italia as it is inserted within the broader European family of the People's Party. Saying it otherwise with a question, and as pointed out by most analysts, if it is true, as it seems to be true, that the declaration of a vote against by the President of the Council of Ministers and his MEPs was revealed when by now the games were over, and the re-election of Ursula Von der Leyen was now a fact, however, that very expression of vote, in addition to proving irrelevant for the purposes of deciding, could have as its consequence a perhaps not negligible "deminutio" of the power of negotiation and exchange not only with regard to the distribution of tasks, within which Italy aspired to obtain a significant role, but also in general, in terms of participation and sharing of the programmatic lines of the Union for the near and future future?

The hypothesis would appear to be anything but negligible and emerge in all its plausibility and evidence since, to put it another way, the games in the supranational context seem to have to be played according to structural and dynamic schemes that are extremely different from those that regulate politics. on an internal level, since alliances seem to find the very reason for their existence in the strength of the reference groups (and not of individuals), even regardless of their different and varied composition. This, in essence, has made possible a convergence of intentions even between certain parties which, on a national level, find themselves in antithetical positions. In Europe, what seems to be decisive is the ability to find transversal convergences as it is necessary by the need to build and follow common paths also useful for being able to give voice to those in Europe, with their vote, who had sent a strong signal of change. Subsequently, on a purely organizational level, the President of the Commission will proceed by inviting the Heads of State and/or Government of the Member States to present the names of their candidates for the positions of European Commissioner, and immediately after the summer period, Parliament will start public hearings of the candidates within the relevant committees. The college of commissioners will then have to submit to the approval of the so-called plenary. The outcomes of these choices will most likely be useful for understanding what the future balance of power in Europe could be and above all whether, within them, Italy could be given an important role as a Founding Member.

Giuseppina Di Salvatore

(Lawyer – Nuoro)

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